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Monthly Musings – April 2025

Uncategorized / April 24, 2025

April 2025 Economic Insights White Paper

U.S. Container Imports Reach 2.38M TEUs in March

Source | Descartes

  • Month-over-Month: Increased by 6.3%
  • Year-over-Year: : Rose by 11%, marking third highest record volume for the month.
  • Port Activity: Significant volume increases observed at Norfolk (+27.9%), Houston (+19.5%), and Philadelphia (+17.8%).
  • Port Dynamics: East and Gulf Coast ports surpassed West Coast ports in market share for the first time in nine months.

  • Transit Delays: Improved across all major ports, suggesting infrastructure and processing capacities are keeping pace with rising volumes.​

The Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) Fell to 52.9 in April

Source | the-lmi.com

  • Month-over-Month: Dropped 5.4 points from March’s 58.3, signaling a notable slowdown in logistics activity.

  • Inventory Levels: Declined sharply to 51.0, marking the most modest expansion recorded since the index’s inception.

  • Inventory Costs: Increased to 68.5, showing that despite slower inventory growth, holding costs remain elevated.

  • Warehousing Capacity: Jumped to 54.0, up 9.4 points, reflecting improved availability of storage space.

  • Warehousing Utilization: Fell to 58.4, suggesting reduced reliance on warehousing assets.

  • Transportation Utilization: Rose to 60.1, indicating a modest increase in freight movement.

  • Transportation Prices: Dropped to 44.1, the first contraction in 2024 and a sign of softening demand or expanded capacity.

Manufacturing PMI Contracts to 49.0

Source | ISM.com

  • New Orders: Contracted to 45.2 (-3.4)
  • Production: Grew to 48.3 (-2.4)
  • Employment: Fell to 44.7 (-2.9)
  • Supplier Deliveries: Slowed to 53.5 (-1.0)
  • Inventories: Marginally contracted to 53.4 (+3.5)
  • Customers’ Inventories: Marginal growth to 46.8 (+0.1)
  • Prices Index: Rose sharply to 69.4 (+7.0)
  • Backlog of Orders: Contracted to 44.5 (-2.3)
  • New Export Orders: Grew to 49.6 (-1.8)
  • Imports: Increased to 50.1 (-2.5)

ATA Truck Tonnage Index Declines 1.5% in March

Source | Trucking.org

  • Month-over-Month: Decreased by 1.5%, following a 2.8% increase in February, signaling continued market volatility.

  • Year-over-Year: Fell by 1.0%, marking the thirteenth straight annual decline, though it was the second smallest drop in that series.

  • Quarterly Performance: Q1 tonnage was down 0.8% compared to Q4 2024 and 2.4% below Q1 2024.

  • Not Seasonally Adjusted Index: Rose to 114.4, up 4.7% from February, reflecting a pickup in actual freight volumes.

Cass Freight Index Shows Rising Costs Despite Flat Volumes

Source | Cassinfo.com

  • Shipments:
    • Month-over-Month: Flat at 1.054, indicating no change from February.
    • Year-over-Year: Declined by 5.3%, reflecting continued softness in freight volumes..
  • Expenditures:
    • Month-over-Month: Increased by 2.8%, suggesting higher spending on freight services.
    • Year-over-year: Decreased by 2.0%, narrowing the annual decline observed in previous months.​
  • Inferred Freight Rates:
    • Month-over-Month: Rose by 2.8%, indicating modest pricing gains despite stable shipment volumes.
    • Year-over-year: Increased by 3.5%, suggesting a trend of rising freight rates.